New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 11 Odds, Plays and Insights


Check out odds, plays and more for the New England Patriots vs. Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 11 matchup on November 18, 2021.

Nov 7, 2021; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; New England Patriots running back Damien Harris (37) celebrates with guard Ted Karras (67) after scoring a touchdown in the first quarter at Bank of America Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The New England Patriots (6-4) will attempt to prolong their four-game winning run versus the Atlanta Falcons (4-5) in Week 11.

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Odds for Patriots vs. Falcons

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Over/under insights

  • New England and its opponents have gone over the current 47-point total in five of 10 games this season.
  • Atlanta's games have gone over 47 points in five of nine chances this season.
  • Thursday's total is 0.3 points lower than the two team's combined 47.3 points per game average.
  • These two squads combine to allow 46.9 points per game, 0.1 fewer than this contest's over/under.
  • Patriots games have an average total of 44.9 points this season, 2.1 fewer than Thursday's over/under.
  • In 2020, games involving the Falcons have averaged a total of 48.1 points, 1.1 more than the set over/under in this contest.

Patriots stats and trends

  • New England has played 10 games, with six wins against the spread.
  • This season, the Patriots have one ATS win in two games as a favorite of 6.5 points or more.
  • New England's games this year have eclipsed the over/under in 50% of its opportunities (five times in 10 games with a set point total).
  • The Patriots rack up 27.5 points per game, comparable to the 29.2 per matchup the Falcons allow.
  • New England is 2-0 against the spread and 2-0 overall this season when the team records more than 29.2 points.
  • The Patriots rack up just 12.1 fewer yards per game (356.2), than the Falcons allow per contest (368.3).
  • In games that New England picks up over 368.3 yards, the team is 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall.
  • The Patriots have turned the ball over 14 times this season, six more turnovers than the Falcons have forced (8).
  • Click over to SISportsbook and find the latest spread, moneyline and total for New England's matchup with the Falcons.

Falcons stats and trends

  • Against the spread, Atlanta is 3-6-0 this season.
  • The Falcons have been underdogs by 6.5 points or more three times this year and covered the spread once.
  • Atlanta's games this year have hit the over on five of nine set point totals (55.6%).
  • The Falcons rack up just 2.1 more points per game (19.8) than the Patriots surrender (17.7).
  • When Atlanta records more than 17.7 points, it is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
  • The Falcons rack up just 3.8 fewer yards per game (324.2) than the Patriots allow (328.0).
  • When Atlanta picks up over 328.0 yards, the team is 2-3 against the spread and 3-2 overall.
  • The Falcons have turned the ball over 13 times, four fewer times than the Patriots have forced turnovers (17).

Home and road insights

  • At home this year, Atlanta has one win against the spread and is 1-3 overall.
  • In four home games this year, Atlanta has gone over the total twice.
  • The average total in Falcons home games this season is 47.0 points, the same as this contest's over/under.
  • New England is 3-1 against the spread, and 4-0 overall, on the road.
  • Away from home, the Patriots are winless ATS (0-1) as 6.5-point favorites or more.
  • New England has gone over the total twice in four away games this season.
  • This season, Patriots away games average 43.6 points, 3.4 fewer than this contest's over/under (47).

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