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2014 NCAA Tournament Predictions

FiveThirtyEight’s NCAA tournament forecasting model calculates the chance of each team reaching each round, taking into account a composite of power rankings, pre-season rankings, the team’s placement on the NCAA’s 68-team S-curve, player injuries and geography. Read about our model » See our 2018 March Madness predictions.

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The Quiet Dominance of Steve Smith

The Carolina Panthers on Thursday released Steve Smith, the franchise’s all-time leading receiver, and he was snapped up Friday by the Baltimore Ravens — so it’s a good time to take stock of his career. The numbers say Smith is one of the best, and most underrated, wideouts of all time. As my former colleague Chase Stuart has […]

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The Quiet Dominance of Steve Smith

The Carolina Panthers on Thursday released Steve Smith, the franchise’s all-time leading receiver, and he was snapped up Friday by the Baltimore Ravens — so it’s a good time to take stock of his career. The numbers say Smith is one of the best, and most underrated, wideouts of all time. As my former colleague Chase Stuart has […]

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Longer Extra Point Could Make NFL Coaches Do the Math

This month, reports emerged that the NFL is considering moving point-after-touchdown attempts out to 43 yards, more than doubling the current PAT distance. The proposal set off a round of teeth-gnashing. In 2013, kickers made 99.6 percent of extra-point attempts — what would the NFL do without such gimmes? What would coaches do if games […]

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Longer Extra Point Could Make NFL Coaches Do the Math

This month, reports emerged that the NFL is considering moving point-after-touchdown attempts out to 43 yards, more than doubling the current PAT distance. The proposal set off a round of teeth-gnashing. In 2013, kickers made 99.6 percent of extra-point attempts — what would the NFL do without such gimmes? What would coaches do if games […]

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