Horse racing tips: Challow Novices’ Hurdle trends – we help you find the winner of the Newbury contest live on ITV4 using these trends

3.00 NEWBURY: Challow Novices’ Hurdle

JUST the six line up for this Grade 1 but there is fair case on the trends for most of them.

The two that have a mountain to climb are Dans Le Vent and Mulcahys Hill.

They are both out with the washing when it comes to the betting and 8-1 is the longest priced winner in the past 10 years.

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Another key trend is to have won last time out. Eight of the past 10 Challow scorers have a tick in that box.

So Poetic Rhythm falls by the wayside because he was third of six at Cheltenham last time out. His win strike-rate isn’t the greatest full-stop.

That leaves us with three contenders — Kilbricken Storm, Way Back Then and Dame Rose — who all pretty much fill the trends requirements.

They all won last time out and have scored no more than twice over timber. They have a recent run and look progressive.

The one thing that makes WAY BACK THEN stand out as the tip is his victory over this distance.

Runners with that plus to their name have an impressive 40% strike-rate in the Challow.

Ben Pauling’s hopeful was impressive at Kempton last time and deserves this step up in class.

Tip top trends tip

WAY BACK THEN (add to your betslip)